Conf = NESCAC State = CT
Nickname = Cardinals Coach = Kim WilliamsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.9502869 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.3) 8-10 310 A Salisbury Coast to Coas (18- 4, 95.9) 13- 7 313 A Catholic Landmark (13- 8, 89.3) 12- 7 316 H Williams NESCAC ( 7- 7, 91.7) 16-12 318 H Endicott Commonwealth (12- 8, 87.4) 15- 8 320 H St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.0) 14- 5 330 A Middlebury NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 10-12 402 A Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.7) 17- 8 406 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.2) 17-15 410 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 92.2) 16- 7 413 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 90.8) 14- 7 414 H William Smith Liberty Leagu (20- 4, 94.5) 13-10 420 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.1) 12- 7 421 A Bates NESCAC ( 6- 9, 88.5) 18- 5 424 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 89.6) 15- 5 427 H Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.1) 14- 5 504 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.2) 15- 7 505 A Middlebury NESCAC (23- 0, 99.9) 5-11 512 H York MAC Commonwea (14- 7, 92.5) 16- 6 518 H Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.3) 5- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Colby 8-10 -2 4 --- -6.27 310 A Salisbury 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.57 313 A Catholic 12- 7 5 7 - -2.00 316 H Williams 16-12 4 5 -1.82 318 H Endicott 15- 8 7 10 0.00 320 H St Lawrence 14- 5 9 12 0.00 330 A Middlebury 10-12 -2 -3 1.54 402 A Amherst 17- 8 9 4 + 2.36 406 H Tufts 17-15 2 0 1.70 410 H Trinity 16- 7 9 5 1.62 413 H Hamilton 14- 7 7 6 0.29 414 H William Smith 13-10 3 3 -0.02 420 A Bowdoin 12- 7 5 5 -0.27 421 A Bates 18- 5 13 7 0.00 424 A Connecticut College 15- 5 10 6 0.23 427 H Bowdoin 14- 5 9 6 0.54 504 H Tufts 15- 7 8 0 +++ 6.70 505 A Middlebury 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.46 512 H York 16- 6 10 5 1.92 518 H Colby 5- 7 -2 4 --- -6.27UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Colby 8-10 -2 4 --- -6.27 518 H Colby 5- 7 -2 4 --- -6.27 313 A Catholic 12- 7 5 7 - -2.00 505 A Middlebury 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.46OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 H Tufts 15- 7 8 0 +++ 6.70 310 A Salisbury 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.57 402 A Amherst 17- 8 9 4 + 2.36
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.95 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.81 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7528 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 7 RPI Rating............... .6918 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 8.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 21 Selection Rank ............ 6 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 155. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 9 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7